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(1) Wolfowitz's appointment is not a smart move; (2) Wolfowitz and McNamara: msg#01757culture.region.indonesia.ppi-india
Bung Moritis, Bung Wisnu, Bung Ikra, Bung Asnawi, dan rekan Netters Yth. lainnya, Pandangan saya pribadi tidak mempersoalkan siapa (orang) yang bakal menjadi "penguasa tertinggi" di World Bank. Tetapi lebih kepada proses yang "fair" menurut ukuran DEMOKRASI (yang selalu diusung Amerika dan negara maju lainnya kepada negara2 berkembang). Meskipun Paul Wolfowitz sudah "kenal" lama dengan Indonesia, namun bukan jaminan bahwa beliau akan berpihak kepada Indonesia. Sepengetahuan saya yang dangkal ini apa yang menjadi kebijakan Amerika selalu mendasarkan kepada "national interest" mereka tanpa memperdulikan apakah hal tersebut melanggar HAM atau DEMOKRASI. Untuk meramaikan diskusi ini, di bawah ini ada 2 (dua) artikel menarik tentang topik yang sama dari harian The Jakarta Post, 22 Maret 2005. Selamat membaca. Salam, Sidqy LP. Suyitno ===================================================================== Wolfowitz's appointment is not a smart move[1] Ari A. Perdana[2], Cambridge, Massachusetts The nomination of Paul Wolfowitz as the World Bank president has been the hottest issue on the international stage for the past few weeks. The story about Wolfowitz's nomination has outshone the discussions on the Millennium Development Goals or appeals to relieve third world debt. After President George W. Bush confirmed that the U.S government officially wants Wolfowitz to lead the Bank last week, he is only one step away from the post. As the biggest shareholder of the Bank, the U.S. government virtually has a prerogative to appoint their man to lead the organization. The U.S. and Europe traditionally share the leadership of the Bank and the IMF -- the U.S. gets the Bank's presidency while Europe gets the Fund's executive director post. The problem, however, is that Wolfowitz's nomination has been widely rejected by the other stakeholders. He does not have any experience in the international development field, nor does he have a background in economics or banking. But the more serious concern is that he is perceived as Bush's man. Many fear that if he becomes the World Bank president, the Bank's policies will be directed by the U.S. government's interests. Developing countries worry that whatever lending or development assistance they receive will be tied to non-development issues such as international security. Unfortunately, the decision-making process in the Bank means that the U.S. government's position is very strong. European countries may try to negotiate for a rejection or approval option. The probability is quite small, though. As a person, Wolfowitz is a great and well-respected man. He is a professional bureaucrat, an excellent diplomat and a reputable academic. He is known as an idealist -- he has a clear vision about democratization and how to spread this vision. Whether or not people agree with his vision and his way of spreading it is another story. But even his political opponents respect him because of it. When he was U.S. ambassador to Indonesia for three years under the Reagan administration, both governments were very satisfied with him. During his term, the U.S. Embassy in Jakarta was considered as one of the most effective diplomatic missions in the country. The relationship between the two nations was also of the highest quality. As an academic, he has served as the dean of the Paul Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), a school of Johns Hopkins University in Washington, D.C., which is also a well-respected institution. However, there are several reasons why his nomination for the World Bank leadership may not be a good thing for the U.S. government, for the institution and for its other stakeholders. First, the World Bank is an international organization whose core business is development. As an expert in defense and international security, the development community knows little about Wolfowitz's vision for international development. He may be a professional bureaucrat, but running an organization like the Bank is different with running the Pentagon. It is debatable whether being an economist or a banker should be a strict requirement for a World Bank president. Senior U.S. politician Alan Metzer argued that the Bank does not need its leader to be a development expert. It already has a lot of such experts. What they need is someone that can be trusted to manage the huge sums of money handled by the Bank. But economist Jeffrey Sachs has a different view. He says that Wolfowitz has never shown an interest, let alone a commitment, to the Millennium Development Goals or global poverty eradication. That is the reason, according to Mr. Sachs, why Wolfowitz is not qualified for the position. A second reason is that his nomination by the Bush administration will send a signal that the U.S. has an obvious agenda with the organization. The perception that the World Bank is merely a vehicle for furthering U.S. interests will become stronger. Wolfowitz, the deputy defense secretary, was the intellectual architect of the Iraq war. The Iraq war represents heavy baggage for U.S. relations with the international community, and is also an issue that has created internal divisions. A move by the Bush administration to appoint their man to the biggest donor organization could further tarnish its image. The Bush administration may not care too much about its image. But I believe the professionals who work in the Bank care about their image. The Bank has been trying hard to maintain its image, which has been deteriorating since the rise of the anti-globalization movement in the late '90s. Many World Bankers have published various self-criticisms. The Bank has also issued revisions to its development approaches in the past half-century. But if Wolfowitz becomes the Bank's president, it would be hard to avoid the perception that the World Bank will become, in Paul Krugman's words, "an ugly American Bank". For Indonesia, perhaps, Wolfowitz' appointment may not be too bad after all. Indonesia gain some benefit from his close ties with the country. However, I don't see that his position in the Bank would produce significant added value for Indonesia. With or without him, Indonesia is still an important stakeholder for the Bank. From the Indonesian perspective, we may be better off having Wolfowitz in the inner circle of the Bush administration as our relationship with the U.S government is more uncertain than that with the World Bank. Lastly, my Harvard professor, who is also a World Banker, once told of an experience when he had to defend his institution in front of an audience of some eight hundred people hostile to the Bank. He said that he could do so if deep in his heart he had confidence that he was doing his job professionally, not as a servant of a big country's interests. Such confidence may not be there anymore should Wolfowitz become his boss. =========================================================================== Wolfowitz and McNamara: What's the difference?[3] W. Scott Thompson[4], Sukawati, Bali President Bush's nomination of Paul Wolfowitz to be president of the World Bank, coming hard on his nomination of an ardent opponent of the United Nations to be America's UN ambassador, was bound to stir up a storm. "Will the World Bank now start invading countries?" the wags ask in Washington. It is inevitable that comparisons are drawn with Lyndon Johnson's dispatch of Robert S. McNamara, then secretary of defense, to the World Bank in 1967 and much reviled for his role in the war in Vietnam. But there is a world of difference and the comparison demeans McNamara. McNamara was famous as a "whiz kid" president of the Ford Motor Company before Kennedy brought him to Washington in 1961 to run the Pentagon. Forty years later and well into his eighties he was still a formidable intellect in Washington; at a dinner discussion on environmental issues two years ago I watched him checking the figures of the presenter on his own calculator and presenting contrary conclusions. In the Kennedy and Johnson years he dealt routinely with heads of state and government and had a standing throughout the world, tarnished as it may have been by Vietnam, of which Wolfowitz could only dream. He went on to become a great force at the World Bank for new approaches to development, including using loan leverage to induce countries to reduce military expenditures. True, he had let his whiz-kid capabilities delude him about the ease with which America might fight a war in Southeast Asia, which is where the comparison with Wolfowitz begins and ends. But by the time Johnson had sent him to the Bank, he had realized his horrible mistake -- and wanted to undertake constructive development work. It was almost contrition. No one would accuse Wolfowitz of stupidity, but the comparison with McNamara is a step-level confusion. Wolfowitz, until Bush, was a mid-level policy intellectual, perhaps in history mostly famous (in Bush the father's pentagon) for helping to lay the foundations for new American doctrine designed, as it turned out, mostly to permit Washington to redesign the Middle East in a way favorable to Israel. He was a student of a great strategist at the University of Chicago, Albert Wohlstetter, but there is no academic opus associated with his career in and out of think-tanks. What he has shown is survival skills, which no one downplays in Washington. He skillfully jumped from job to job in the Reagan-Bush years, and then landed a deanship of a small graduate school in Washington affiliated with Johns Hopkins University. There his survival skills were most notable in the alleged covering up of what could have been a career-ending scandal. But leave Wolfowitz's personal life aside; he had at that time endured a divorce and saw the great opportunity for the neo-conservative cause with which by then he was intimately associated. No wonder he must have moved mountains to maneuver himself into high position. But this is where the problem begins. Wolfowitz entered the Pentagon not only with an agenda but with allies intent on carrying it out. The papers they had written in the Clinton interval derived from the strategies they had devised in the first Bush presidency for an aggressive American military capability particularly in the Middle East. Doug Feith, who has now "retired" from the job Wolfowitz held in Bush I, to return to his lucrative -- and military-related -- legal practice; and Richard Perle, long a public supporter and sometime consultant to Israel; with Wolfowitz took every opportunity to maneuver American policy into the invasion of Iraq that has led -- whatever else it has done -- to an almost cataclysmic fall in American standing and prestige throughout the world. Wolfowitz even went so far as to admit that the "weapons of mass destruction" excuse for the war was chosen merely as the most convenient handle. Wolfowitz's boss, Don Rumsfeld, arrived without agenda. He was a mechanic of strategy who thought he could fight wars more efficiently with fewer troops. He just hadn't any idea of what wars and for whom and what. The now notorious threesome, Wolfowitz, Perle, and Feith gave him an agenda that he was only too happy to endorse. Vice president Cheney was on board too, and together with their frequent guest Ariel Sharon, to whom was virtually delegated control over American middle east policy in the first George W. Bush term, they pulled the president on board for a long and thankless war. The failures in Iraq are far more those of Wolfowitz than of Rumsfeld. Normally, it is in the deputy secretary's office that oversight of plans for implementation of programs takes place. The appalling failure to foresee the grim war in Iraq once Saddam was toppled, not even having plans to protect the infrastructure much less five millennia of priceless museum treasures, is Wolfowitz's failure. The garlands of flowers with which American forces were to be met, according to the nominee, shows just how little he understands reality in the third world. So to associate Wolfowitz, who remains unrepentant over the disasters over which he presided in Iraq, with McNamara, who arrived at the Bank charged up with innovative ideas for development, is to do a great disservice to truth. Perhaps Wolfowitz can follow McNamara, if he wins acceptance at the bank, in converting great energies to constructive causes. But to consider the two Pentagon officials in the same league is to know little of the game and its levels. McNamara was a failed world-class intellectual and statesman who retrieved his reputation with great works. Wolfowitz, from a much lower level of import, still thinks his invasion of Iraq was the right thing. It's rather an imposition on the World Bank to force it to digest as president a man world-class only in his chutzpah. --------------------------------- [1] All contents copyright © of The Jakarta Post. March 22, 2005 http://www.thejakartapost.com/detaileditorial.asp?fileid=20050322.E02&irec=1 [2] The writer is a researcher at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, Jakarta, and the Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, USA. Ari_Perdana-T1VZawzmScbaZwrp7/ava4dd74u8MsAO@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [3] Copyright © of The Jakarta Post. March 22, 2005. http://www.thejakartapost.com/detaileditorial.asp?fileid=20050322.F04&irec=3 [4] W. Scott Thompson, D. Phil. is Adjunct Professor of International Politics, Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University, Medford, MA. The views expressed are personal. ===================================================================== Asnawi Manaf <asnawi2407-/E1597aS9LQAvxtiuMwx3w@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote: Agenda WB salah satunya memang melemahkan fungsi negara kalau kita setuju kenapa sekarang kita latah kritik neo liberal ya? Aneh?...1ß1ß??!"? Kita ini memang serba salah.... Tabik ASNAWI --- Ikranagara wrote: > > Maaf, ada salah ketik yang fatal, yaitu dalam bagian > kalimat ini: > > "... banyaknya imigran dari benua raksasa itu yang > menyerbu Eropah > disebabkan oleh hancurnya ekonomi di banyak negara > Eropah." > > bagian itu mestinya berbunyi: > > "... banyaknya imigran dari benua raksasa itu yang > menyerbu Eropah > disebabkan oleh hancurnya ekonomi di banyak negara > Afrika." > > > > Ikra > > > --- In LISI-hHKSG33TihhbjbujkaE4pw@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Ikranagara" > wrote: > > > > World Bank memang punya program membantu > pemberantasan kemiskinan > di > > banyak negara miskin, terutama yang di Afrika. > Yang dikhawatirkan > > para pengeritik kalau nanti Wolfowitz jadi boss > WB, dana khusus > dan > > besar itu akan dialihkan kepada tujuan membangun > demokrasi dai > Timur > > Tengah (diawali dengan Iraq) karena memang inilah > program > terpenting > > AS, dan AS memang membutuhkan dana besar untuk > disalurkan ke Timur > > Tengah dengan tujuan politik "anti teroris dan pro > demokrasi" yang > > menjadi pertaruhan besarnya. Arsitek politik Timur > Tengah AS ini > > adalah Wolfowitz. > > > > Eropah sangatlah berkepentingan untuk membangun > ekonomi Afrika, > > karena banyaknya imigran dari benua raksasa itu > yang menyerbu > Eropah > > disebabkan oleh hancurnya ekonomi di banyak negara > Eropah. > > Kesimpulan yang banyak dipegang belakangan ini > tentang kenapa > > terhadi kehancuran itu adalah bahwa bantuan yang > dilakukan leat > > jalur G to G itu menyebabkan bantuan itu salah > alamat, bukannya > > kepada rakyat melainkan kepada birokrat > pemerintahan di Afrika > yang > > terkenal KKN-nya itu. Maka sekarang ada gerakan > untuk menyalurkan > > dana bantuan ke Afrika itu langsung ke rakyat > tanpa melewati jalur > G > > to G lagi. Bagaimana caranya, inilah yang sedang > dirumuskan. > Antara > > lain melalui LSM dan yang semacamnya. Kontrolnya > tentulah juga > tidak > > lagi oleh pemerintah setempat, melainkan > monitoring internasional. > > Dengan kata lain, peranan pemerintah dalam urusan > yang menyangkut > > bantuan ini, termasuk yang dari WB, tidak lagi > bersifat G to G. > > > > Apakah terhadap negeri kita pandangan seperti di > Afrika itu bisa > > dipakai sebagai formula juga? Artinya, bantuan > dari luar itu > > hendaknya tidak lagi melalui jalur G to G. Hal ini > perlu > difikirkan > > bersama. > > > > > > Ikra.- > > > > > > --- In LISI-hHKSG33TihhbjbujkaE4pw@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Wisnu Nugroho > wrote: > > > Saya tidak yakin bahwa apapun yang dikatakan > Pemerintah > Indonesia > > akan mengubah keputusan presiden > > > Bush untuk mencalonkan Wolfowitz. Saya membaca > artikel tentang > > pencalonan ini. Artikel itu > > > menceritakan bahwa Amerika selalu dengan sengaja > membocorkan > > pencalonan kandidatnya untuk World > > > Bank jauh hari sebelum pengumuman pencalonan > resmi. Tujuannya > > adalah untuk melihat reaksi dunia, > > > terutama uni-eropa, atas pencalonan tersebut. > Seperti yang kita > > duga, Uni Eropa "shock" mendengar > > > pencalonan Wolfowitz dan (juga secara jalur > informal) menolak. > > Tapi, seperti biasanya Bush, dia > > > tidak perduli dan tetap saja secara resmi > mencalonkan Wolfowitz. > > Kalau negara negara eropa yang > > > sekutu amerika, yang ketempatan pangkalan > militer amerika, yang > > meminjamkan milyaran $ ke amerika > > > bisa diabaikan begitu saja, tidak mungkin mereka > mau mendengar > > Indonesia yang nasibnya tergantung > > > dengan uang Amerika. > > > > > > Saat ini kita justru harus berlaku taktis dan > diam. Paul > Wolfowitz > > pernah jadi duta besar di > > > Indonesia, dan dia jelas mengerti kondisi dan > situasi Indonesia. > > Kalau kita punya hubungan baik > > > dengan dia, akan besar nilainya bagi kepentingan > Indonesia di > > World Bank. Siapa tahu, Wolfowitz > > > yang sangat kenal dengan seluk beluk Indonesia > ini malah bisa > > merumuskan solusi solusi yang baik > > > untuk masalah masalah ekonomi kita, dan punya > cukup power untuk > > membuat solusi solusi tersebut > > > berjalan. Memang dari credentialnya dia mungkin > bukan yang > > terbaik, tapi yang penting dia kenal > > > (dan semoga perduli) Indonesia. Ada puluhan > negara miskin yang > > butuh perhatian World Bank, dan > > > Indonesia dasarnya berkompetisi dengan negara > negara miskin lain > > itu untuk mendapatkan "jatah" > > > perhatian dari World Bank. Fakta bahwa Wolfowitz > kenal Indonesia > > bisa membuat Indonesia > > > mendapatkan fokus lebih. > > > > > > Mungkin negara negara lain punya kepentingan > untuk menentang > > Wolfowitz, tapi Indonesia sebenarnya > > > punya kepentingan untuk mendukung dia. Anda mau > bilang saya > > hipokrit? silahkan. Sebagai warga > > > Indonesia saya tidak perduli siapa yang jadi > presiden di Amerika > > dan siapa yang jadi wakilnya di > > > World Bank. Yang saya perdulikan cuma apa > dampaknya bagi > > Indonesia, dan terutama bagi rakyat > > > miskin di Indonesia. > > > > > > Wisnu > > > > > > --- Moritis wrote: > > > > Bapak Syitno dan rekan2 di LISI, > > > > Bagaimana kalau pemerintah Indonesia dg. resmi > menulis surat > ke > > World Bank, > > > > dan menyatakan keberatannya atas Mr. Paul > Wolfowitz dicalonkan > > menjadi > > > > Presiden World Bank? Dulu dia Dubes AS di > Jakarta, jadi > > pemerintah > > > > Indonesia sudah kenal dia kan? Juga > pemerintah RI bisa > sekalian > > usul siapa > > > > sebaiknya jadi Pres. World Bank, seseorang yg. > dianggap akan > > sungguh2 bisa > > > > memperbaiki nasib rakyat miskin di Indonesia. > > > > Salam damai selalu, > > > > Is Moritis > > > > ASNAWI FB 13 Stadt- und Landschaftplanung Postadresse: Henschelstraße 2, Raum 226 Universität Kassel, fb13, 34109 Kassel --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Small Business - Try our new resources site! [Non-text portions of this message have been removed] ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> Give the gift of life to a sick child. Support St. Jude Children's Research Hospital's 'Thanks & Giving.' http://us.click.yahoo.com/lGEjbB/6WnJAA/E2hLAA/BRUplB/TM --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> *************************************************************************** Berdikusi dg Santun & Elegan, dg Semangat Persahabatan. 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