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Mexico Mulls Silver Lining Against Currency Crash: msg#00548

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Subject: Mexico Mulls Silver Lining Against Currency Crash

The silver coin legislation that the Reuters story
below says has passed the Mexican Senate is not, 
GATA is told, the same version of the legislation 
being advocated by Mexico's leading silver advocate, 
Hugo Salinas-Price. But the story shows that the 
silver coin issue is very much alive.

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.

* * *

Mexico Mulls Silver Lining Against Currency Crash

By Pav Jordan
Reuters
via Banderas News
Puerto Vallarta, Mexico
Sunday, October 30, 2005

http://www.banderasnews.com/0503/nr-platapura.htm

MEXICO CITY -- An influential Mexican businessman wants to 
reintroduce silver coins as legal currency -- as in Mexico's 16th 
century heyday -- and, farfetched as it may sound, the idea is 
winning support.

The Senate has already passed the initiative, and the lower house is 
expected to vote soon on the bill, which has struck a nerve in a 
country where decades of financial crisis have fomented a deep 
distrust of paper currency.

The central bank opposes the plan as anachronistic.

Hugo Salinas Price, founder of the specialty retailer Elektra, says 
silver could be the shield to protect Mexicans' savings from another 
currency collapse.

"The idea was born from the need to protect the currency," said 
Price, whose son, Ricardo Salinas, is chief executive of Mexico's 
No. 2 broadcaster, TV Azteca.

Mexico's peso is stable now, and has actually strengthened of late, 
but fear of currency collapse is etched deep in the Mexican psyche 
after previous financial crises.

Mexico was a top supplier of silver coins during the colonial era, 
when they were significant components of the Spanish and British 
treasuries. The minting of coins in the New World began in 1535 in 
Mexico City.

According to Price and advocate lawmakers interviewed by Reuters, 
the new coins would be valued according to the price of silver as a 
commodity, with the central bank, Banco de Mexico, managing coinage 
and charging a 10 percent seigniorage.

The 1-ounce silver coin, called the Libertad (Liberty), would have 
no nominal value engraved upon it, and would circulate alongside the 
conventional peso currency. Its worth would be stated daily in a 
central bank quote.

Silver traded at about $7.50 an ounce on Friday in New York. The 
peso was valued at about 11 per U.S. dollar.

Price said the Libertad would be protected from losing value because 
losses on commodity markets would be compensated for by central bank 
valuations.

Representatives of the central bank could not be reached to comment, 
but it has rejected the idea in arguments to legislators, citing 
concerns ranging from counterfeiting to minting costs.

Independent economists also argue against monetizing silver, saying 
it has no place in a modern world of interconnected and open 
economies.

Rafael Urquia, an analyst with Banamex Accival brokerage in Mexico 
City, said the plan would limit the flexibility of monetary policy.

"I am inclined to think that this will not pass (Congress)," Urquia 
said in a recent interview. "I would like to think that the 
legislators sitting on economic committees have some common sense."

Opponents also cite the costs of adapting the currency system to 
incorporate silver coins, and list the subsequent transaction costs 
and even minting costs as other concerns.

"This idea of a hybrid currency seeks the best of both worlds - and 
I think that would be difficult," Urquia said.

Still, the 1994-95 financial meltdown known as the "Tequila crisis" 
is just the most recent example of why some Mexicans are eager for 
an alternative safe haven for their money.

Despite recent advances, Mexico still has one of Latin America's 
lowest rates of savings and bank credit.

Most past crises have coincided with presidential elections, and the 
tight, three-way race for the 2006 vote has generated worries that 
the peso could be in for a steep decline.

Still, Mexico produced some 3 million ounces of silver in 2004 and 
state governors and legislators say the plan could give a boost to 
the economies of states producing silver.

"We see this as a viable initiative," said Fernando Guzman, a 
federal deputy with the governing National Action Party. "It would 
bring a new vitality to the state economies."

Proponents of silver money cite Gresham's law - named after the 
financial agent of England's Queen Elizabeth I, Sir Thomas Gresham 
(1519-1579) - to support arguments that people tend to save 
currencies with intrinsic values when they are traded alongside 
fiduciary monies.

"I can tell you one thing for sure, I don't always stop to pick up a 
peso if I drop it," said Violeta de la Torre, an office 
administrator. "But I certainly wouldn't leave a silver ounce lying 
in the street."



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